View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. The first published work on creating speed-figures was E.W. The Beyer Speed Figures are an easy indicator to determine which horse will likely become the favorite to win in a race. Stat to remember: Since the Beyer Speed Figures were introduced in . Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. font-size: 12px; The figure may however be adjusted if the raw numbers are unusual based on the field's previous performances. Beyer Speed Figures favorEpicenter, and it is not very close. Crown Pride hails from Japan while Summer Is Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai. table.tableizer-table { border: 1px solid #CCC; In 2019, Country House received the win with a 99 BSF. His performance was given a Beyer Speed Figure of 126, which according to the Daily Racing Form, which publishes the figures, is the second-highest number since eponymous BSF creator Andrew Beyer . 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline (Tapit) is really, really, fast. According to the Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman, the 118 is the highest number given to any horse since Shancelot (Shanghai Bobby) got a 121 when winning the 2019 GII Amsterdam S. at Saratoga. They employ their judgment in analyzing any racing card and determining the track variant. It's an exciting time. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Speed Figures: Un Ojo improved his best Equibase Speed Figure 14 points to a 91 for the Rebel Stakes, and he boosted his career-best Beyer Speed Figure 13 points to an 84. They both earned a Brisnet Rating of 111, which tie with Taibafor the best in the Derby. Click here to sign up for the daily PDF or alerts. Prior to the Malibu, Flightline and Baby Yoda (Prospective) were tied for the best number on the year, a 114. He was nearly in a walk when crossing the wire after completing the seven furlongs in 1:21.37. 7 Winners on Monday! The figures are generally less reliable in turf races, which often have a slow early pace resulting in slow final times that do not reflect the horse's true speed. We knew Olympiad was fast he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a mile in :12.53, according to Equibase, was especially impressive. .tableizer-table td { Once horses have built a figure history, Beyer projects a figure based on the figures earned by the horses in the race, in place of the par, making the numbers much more accurate. He said Monday that he had not picked out a next start for the colt and was not in any hurry to do so. Since 1992, 27 of 30 Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a career-best Beyer speed figure of at least 95. Considering that he is by Tapit and, therefore, should do his best running at longer distances and that Sadler-trained horses usually don't reach their peak until turning four, or even five, could Flightline actually get better? The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. There were three Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs. For example, a horse who earns three consecutive figures of 102, and defeats a horse with three consecutive figures of 92, would indicate a projected figure of 102 for that race is accurate. 38 Flatter Died 2022 67 111 17 0 $665,300 3 3 4% 0 0 0% 96 Hero Status. It is interesting that the 94 Beyer Speed Figure that Secret Oath earned in the Kentucky Oaks puts her right in the mix with the other top contenders. Not a subscriber? Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. The fields for the 14 races that comprise the Breeders Cup World Championships really begin to come into focus in summer and fall, and just last weekend we witnessed several breakout performances. For American Quarter Horse racing, the Speed index rating system is used. He's advising bettors to consider speed figures and track conditions prior to wagering. BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! For example, Messier posted a 98 Beyer in his most recent race but also has a 103 on his resume, indicating a consistent high-level performer. Considering how poorly the Gazelle entrants ran in the Kentucky Oaks, it seems that the Gazelle was painfully weak this year, making the Wood look better than it really was. These were three of the eight highest figures earned in the 1990s. Just how fast is a certain crop of horses in the Kentucky Derby? She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . (Of course, all horses have distances they prefer, and a sprinter who earns a big figure at six furlongs is unlikely to duplicate it in the Kentucky Derby.) We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. Medina Spirit posted a 101 Brisnet Speed Rating in last year's Kentucky Derby. [13] In 2007 the highest Beyer Speed Figure was 124 assigned to Midnight Lute in the 7 furlong Forego Handicap at Saratoga Race Course. Jessica Morgan / Eclipse Sportswire. [8] It is noteworthy that Easy Goer's overall speed figures were substantially superior to principal rival Sunday Silence, despite Sunday Silence's slight three to one edge in their head-to-head races. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. The highest official numbers belong to the sprinter Groovy, who earned a 132 and a 133 in 1987. Odds are estimates, as the opening morning line odds will not be released by Churchill Downs until the post position draw a few days before the first Saturday in May. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race . Overall, the 2022 Kentucky Derby field looks generally faster than the 2021 field. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. His dam (mother), Tokyo Time, by Medaglia dOro, was a winner at 1 1/8 miles and also Grade 2-placed at that distance. with a Beyer Speed Figure of 103, best of any contender and second fastest among 3-year-olds this year. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? His Brisnet high of 101 is tied with Epicenter. Each day's races are compared to their pars, with the variant representing the average deviation, and then added to the raw speed rating to yield the par-time based figure. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. Sell. Preakness 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. . This story was posted in Shared News and tagged Beyer Speed Figures, Flightline, Horse Racing, John Sadler, Runhappy Malibu S., Santa Anita, Terry Finley. The Win and Youre In Challenge Series offers the winners of specific individual races an expenses-paid starting spot for corresponding Breeders Cup races, and this blog will periodically take a closer look at one promising prospect. In a rare circumstance, he would have been favored even if the Kentucky Derby winner, Rich Strike, was running in the Preakness. Sprinter Turf Male Turf Female. Beyer Figures became part of Daily Racing Form past performances in 1992. When handicapping a horse race, there are more variables than one can count, but using the Beyer Speed Figures will get you headed in the right direction. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline ( Tapit) is really, really, fast . Dale Romans gave me some good advice, he said. Messier, Taiba and Epicenter have run the strongest of the horses in the field. Handicappers may find it useful to relate the par to the typical figures of horses in a field. Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? I have said that everything is on the table. His Carter victory earned a career-high Beyer Speed Figure of 114. The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. In Betting Thoroughbreds, Steve Davidowitz claimed that (in 1974), "the top-figure horse wins 35 percent of the time, at a slight loss for every $2.00 wagered." Only one horse has recorded a better Beyer speed figure than Flightline's 126 in the Pacific Classic, and none have matched his five-race string of excellence 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126. Since making their published debut in 1992, Beyer Speed Figures have become the industry standard for evaluating Thoroughbred performance. He has run consecutive 101 numbers, which puts him behind four other Preakness probables. In Europe, Timeform has a similar rating scale that yields a number, but with a different value. Top Beyer Speed Figures. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses1 //logo version 1.0.2 - Jun 2022 TVG .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-1 { fill: #000001; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-2 { fill: #fff; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-3 { fill: #009c58; } Visit TVG$200 BONUSIf Your Bet LosesTVG ReviewGet Your First Single-Horse Win Wager BackUp to $200 If You LoseUse Promo Code: 200TVGPLAY NOW. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. Donaldson's Consistent Handicapping Profits (1936), which was cited by Jerry Brown as the method on which the Ragozin and Brown "sheet" figures are based. .tableizer-table td { These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. A 90 at Saratoga is the same quality of performance as a 90 at the Ferndale Fair.Moreover, a figure of 90 in a six-furlong race is the same quality of performance as a 90 at 1 miles. After a weekend of three extremely telling Kentucky Derby prep races, and 50-point races coming quickly, there's no better time to take a look at how the crop has performed figures-wise to this point. He's the kind of horse that when he's right and ready to run that's when he's going to go. [2] Flightline earned a 126 speed figure in winning the 2022 Pacific Classic Stakes at Del Mar Racetrack in 2022. 1 . When many people see the name of a champion sprinter as a sire, they think his best runners will be fast and precocious. [23], As Beyer has noted, a speed figure is a numerical expression of a horse's final time, universalized for distance, track surface, and the daily variant on that surface. His strong and consistent 3-year-old form, combined with a lack of depth among the prospective contenders, makes this logical. Periods of rain. On 2016s Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. Ran third in the Preakness, beaten 3 1/2 lengths by Early Voting, tabbed with a 100 Beyer Speed Figure at 10-1 . Commentator, who once ran a 123 in his career, scored a 120 as a 7-year-old, possibly a record for a horse that old. Capped a run of three wins in four starts at Fair Grounds with a score in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure of 102. The winner of the Kentucky Derby will likely run their best career race, but having a history of 100+ BSF helps predict such a performance. 2022 Preakness Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Racing insider offers betting strategy for second leg of Triple Crown One week after hitting the Pick 4 at Belmont Park for $1,851, Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir just revealed his picks and bets for the Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course You can throw out superlative after superlative. (Only Epicenter, Messier . This should be taken with a gain of salt, however, because Epicenter has shown the most consistency. 10 of the previous 12 Kentucky Derby winners posted a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or more. We might not have seen the best from Secret Oath and Creative Minister, who have shown they can run competitivefigures while they continue to improve. background-color: #104E8B; Messier notched his 103 in the Robert B. Lewis on Feb. 6. I don't think he has any distance limitations.. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. 97. Beyer explained that rating a horses ability on just the final time of the race was not good enough, because racing surfaces can vary from day to day based on the weather, how the track is maintained and other factors. Through 02/26/2023. His 120 was the highest number recorded since Quality Road earned a 121 in 2011. The Breeders Cup Classic is the marquee race of the two-day Breeders Cup World Championships to be held at Keeneland for the third time overall on Nov. 4-5, 2022, with 14Breeders Cup races offering $28million in purse money and awards. Speightstown has enjoyed success as a sire on dirt and turf and with sprinters as well as longer-distance runners. This makes them wild cards of sorts, with the odds estimate reflecting the uncertainty. After the New York Times gave the book an unexpected rave review, Picking Winners attracted a wide audience. While news that Kentucky Derby sensation Rich Strike will skip the Preakness Stakes surely tamping down some of the fervor over the big race, that doesn't mean there's nothing to watch for or bet on this Saturday. The popular rule of thumb for a rough equivalent of the Timeform score is to deduct 12-14 points to achieve the Beyer figure. He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. margin: 3px; At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. Note that unlike with Brisnet and Beyer, TimeformUS also takes pace into account when formulating its figures. I'm going to be very mindful of his campaign, he said. Beyer Speed Figures will sometimes be revised after they are originally published. So it's possible for a horse to earn a number that is higher than a horse who finished ahead. Their six associates involved in making figures include television commentator Randy Moss and long-time Philadelphia sports columnist Dick Jerardi, who have been with the business since its beginning. Simplification seems like the most likely horse to show up for the exotics. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. Creating these figures is the result of a very complex process that involves mathematical formulas and judgment calls . Taiba won as much the best, again earning a Beyer figure north of 100. CLICK HERE TO SUBSCRIBE TO THE TDN FOR FREE! Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. In the only . If the top contenders in a Belmont MSW field regularly run in the 70s, the race may be a good spot for first-time starters or other entrants with no recent form. by ericdecoster February 9, 202211 min read. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. By his theory, a horse earning an 85 Beyer at Golden Gate Fields going seven furlongs and a horse earning an 85 Beyer at nine furlongs at Santa Anita basically have the same ability. (Coady Photography), A Closer Look at 2022 Breeders Cup Classic Hopeful Olympiad, Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. [1], The record for the highest Beyer Speed figure is held by Groovy, the 1987 American Champion Sprint Horse who earned 133 and 132 in back-to-back races,[2] in the Roseben and True North Handicaps at six furlongs in 1987. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. Longtime Washington Post columnist Andy Beyer created the Beyer Speed Figures, first appearing in his groundbreaking handicapping book Picking Sportsbooks in 1975. Anything can happen in a 20-horse race, but this is one example of consistent, positive past performances. John doesn't need any help from us. That's not about to change. Bet with your head, not over it. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. A colt being trounced in Belmont MSW company may find a soft spot upstate at Finger Lakes, where the par for the class is 59.In most cases, pars are not listed for races restricted to 2- or 3-year-olds. 0:49. 2022 Preakness: Beyer Speed Figures For Every Horse. The system behind the figures was explained in detail and popularized by Andrew Beyers book, Picking Winners, published in 1975. Epicenter, with Joel Rosario aboard, wins the $1 million Louisiana Derby horse race at Fair Grounds on Saturday, March 26, 2022. Photo: Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back. Receive daily headlines, breaking news alerts, promotions, and much . font-weight: bold; . Formal Gold ran successive numbers of 126, 124 and 125 in 1997 in the Whitney Handicap (actually losing by a nose to Will's Way), Iselin Handicap and Woodward Stakes. It is done, and has always been done, by human beingsBeyer and Mark Hopkins, and their six associates. Indy are both major stamina influences as broodmare sires and Olympiads family also produced 1987 Ashland Stakes winner Chic Shirine and 2015 Travers Stakes winner Keen Ice. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. 2022 Kentucky Derby Trail: By the Numbers. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. The third and final leg of the horse racing Triple Crown has arrived. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. With a talented, 20-horse field expected to enter the starting gate, you NEED to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2022 Kentucky Derby picks of your own. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. f: (732) 747-8955. Olympiad, with Junior Alvarado in the irons, rolled to a 2 -length victory in the July 2 Stephen Foster Stakes at Churchill Downs, his fifth win in a row to start off 2022. [15][16], Beyer speculated that had his figures existed in 1973, Secretariat would have scored 139 in his classic 1973 win at the Belmont Stakes. Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. We've waited a long time for a horse like this and I think we have one, said Terry Finley, who heads the West Point Thoroughbreds syndicate, one part of an ownership groups that also includes Hronis Racing LLC, Siena Farm LLC, Summer Wind Equine LLC and Woodford Racing, LLC. Its important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. They keep stressing do what's right for the horse. Medaglia dOro and A.P. Beyer Speed Figures had him with a top of 79 as a 2-year-old, but he earned a 94 for the San Vicente and a 98 for the San Felipe, so he's . Messier posted his on Feb. 6, 2022 in the Robert B. Lewis (G3), a 1 1/16 mile run which Messier won. Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form. None of the entrants in 2010's field has yet earned a number higher than 101. . While Beyer has also noted that "speed figures tell you how fast a horse ran in the past; they do not necessarily predict how it will run today," their use as a handicapping tool is premised on their ability to shed light on how a horse is likely to run in its next start. I'm going to take it one step at a time. On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. The end result also included a 98 Beyer, which matches the best speed figure run so far by Zandon, the morning-line Derby favorite. Below, well use Beyer Speed Figures to determine the speed of the 2022 Kentucky Derby field. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures for the North American contenders in the prospective 2022 Kentucky Derby field. Chance of rain 100%. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. } This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24 (UTC). Beyer Sire Performance Standings offer a metric for measuring stallion performance beyond wins and earnings. padding: 4px; Beyer said that if his figures were around in 1973, Secretariat would have earned a 139 Beyer for his Belmont Stakes victory. Zozos joins Epicenter, Early Voting, Pioneer of Medina and Zandon as the only horses in the field whose speed figures have gone up each time they have run in each of the three categories. The figures are straightforward: the greater the number, the quicker the horse. If you are a casual sports fan getting ready to check out the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown, you are going to hear plenty of talk about Beyer Speed Figures.
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